← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.73vs Predicted
-
2Rice University0.75+0.67vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.21vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Davis-0.43+0.08vs Predicted
-
5University of California at San Diego-2.36+0.70vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.5%1st Place
-
2.67Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
-
3.21University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
-
5.7University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
-
3.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 52.8% | 28.2% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 20.3% | 28.5% | 25.5% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 1.0% |
| Carter Anderson | 12.9% | 19.1% | 22.5% | 27.2% | 16.4% | 1.9% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.1% | 9.6% | 14.3% | 22.0% | 40.7% | 8.3% |
| Grace Richie | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 84.8% |
| Florence Duff | 8.5% | 13.3% | 21.9% | 25.6% | 26.7% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.