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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+2.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at Davis-0.43+2.03vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-1.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.82vs Predicted
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5Rice University0.75-2.20vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.36-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.03University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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1.67California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.6%1st Place
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3.18University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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2.8Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florence Duff | 7.8% | 14.2% | 22.0% | 25.2% | 26.6% | 4.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 6.2% | 8.8% | 16.6% | 21.3% | 38.7% | 8.4% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 55.4% | 28.2% | 11.3% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 13.2% | 18.2% | 24.5% | 27.3% | 14.9% | 1.9% |
| Ricky Miller | 16.7% | 29.5% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 9.5% | 1.6% |
| Grace Richie | 0.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 9.2% | 83.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.