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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California Poly Maritime Academy1.75+0.73vs Predicted
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2Rice University0.75+0.68vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02+0.60vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz0.31-0.78vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.36+0.69vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-0.43-1.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.5%1st Place
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2.68Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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3.6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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3.22University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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5.69University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
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4.08University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Mueller | 53.7% | 27.0% | 13.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Ricky Miller | 19.6% | 29.4% | 24.1% | 18.3% | 7.8% | 0.8% |
| Florence Duff | 9.1% | 15.0% | 18.1% | 26.8% | 26.7% | 4.3% |
| Carter Anderson | 11.8% | 18.3% | 26.5% | 25.0% | 16.2% | 2.2% |
| Grace Richie | 0.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 84.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.3% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 21.6% | 40.1% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.