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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University0.75+1.71vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.75-0.27vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.31+0.16vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.02-0.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Davis-0.43-0.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.36-0.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Rice University0.750.2%1st Place
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1.73California Poly Maritime Academy1.750.5%1st Place
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3.16University of California at Santa Cruz0.310.1%1st Place
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3.58Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.020.1%1st Place
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4.13University of California at Davis-0.430.1%1st Place
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5.7University of California at San Diego-2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Miller | 19.4% | 28.5% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 8.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 53.9% | 26.2% | 14.2% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Carter Anderson | 13.1% | 20.1% | 23.8% | 25.2% | 16.0% | 1.8% |
| Florence Duff | 8.0% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 28.0% | 25.5% | 3.2% |
| Braedon Hansen | 5.0% | 8.9% | 14.9% | 21.4% | 39.3% | 10.5% |
| Grace Richie | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 4.0% | 9.5% | 83.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.