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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-0.14vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-1.19vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.91-0.05vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.98-0.89vs Predicted
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7Rice University-1.07-4.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.5%1st Place
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3.36Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
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2.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.2%1st Place
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4.95University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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2.91Rice University-1.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Jennings | 47.6% | 29.3% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Annika Burns | 12.1% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 27.7% | 16.3% | 5.7% |
| Lucas Elliott | 18.8% | 22.7% | 27.5% | 22.1% | 7.2% | 1.7% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 12.3% | 33.9% | 41.5% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 30.8% | 49.6% |
| Leo Marek | 17.6% | 20.9% | 27.0% | 22.9% | 10.2% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.