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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98+1.81vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-0.17vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-0.65vs Predicted
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5Rice University-1.07-2.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.98-0.92vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-2.91-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.2%1st Place
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1.83California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.5%1st Place
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3.35Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
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2.9Rice University-1.070.2%1st Place
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5.08University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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5.04University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Elliott | 19.1% | 25.4% | 24.3% | 20.8% | 7.6% | 2.8% |
| Sam Jennings | 50.0% | 26.6% | 15.5% | 6.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Annika Burns | 11.9% | 16.6% | 20.0% | 31.4% | 16.3% | 3.8% |
| Leo Marek | 15.2% | 24.4% | 28.6% | 20.3% | 10.2% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.5% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 9.3% | 32.9% | 46.6% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 11.7% | 31.7% | 45.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.