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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University-0.95+1.78vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-0.14vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.39vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.98+1.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-2.11vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.91-0.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Rice University-0.950.2%1st Place
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1.86California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.5%1st Place
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3.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
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5.05University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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2.89University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.2%1st Place
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5.02University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Unger | 18.8% | 26.5% | 24.2% | 21.0% | 7.1% | 2.4% |
| Sam Jennings | 48.9% | 25.0% | 18.7% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Annika Burns | 10.7% | 16.3% | 21.7% | 29.5% | 18.4% | 3.4% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 10.2% | 30.9% | 47.3% |
| Lucas Elliott | 17.4% | 23.9% | 24.3% | 22.7% | 9.6% | 2.1% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 10.8% | 32.5% | 44.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.