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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University-0.95+1.79vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-0.14vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.91+1.93vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.98+1.06vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.98-3.10vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Rice University-0.950.2%1st Place
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1.86California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.5%1st Place
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4.93University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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5.06University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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2.9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.980.2%1st Place
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3.45Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Unger | 18.9% | 26.4% | 23.2% | 21.4% | 8.1% | 2.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 48.6% | 26.7% | 16.3% | 6.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 2.7% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 30.3% | 43.9% |
| Alexander Lohan | 2.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 10.3% | 30.8% | 47.5% |
| Lucas Elliott | 17.1% | 24.1% | 24.3% | 23.1% | 9.3% | 2.1% |
| Annika Burns | 10.6% | 14.2% | 23.5% | 27.2% | 20.3% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.