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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rice University-0.95+2.11vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-0.26vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.91+2.06vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07-1.79vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-1.28vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.98-0.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.11Rice University-0.950.1%1st Place
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1.74University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.5%1st Place
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5.06University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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2.21California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.3%1st Place
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3.72Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
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5.16University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur Unger | 12.6% | 16.7% | 32.0% | 26.1% | 10.5% | 2.1% |
| George Soliman | 49.8% | 31.5% | 14.1% | 4.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.8% | 2.8% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 34.6% | 44.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 28.0% | 37.3% | 23.2% | 9.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Annika Burns | 6.3% | 10.4% | 20.5% | 36.8% | 19.8% | 6.2% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.5% | 1.3% | 4.4% | 12.4% | 33.1% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.