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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz0.48+0.77vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+0.19vs Predicted
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3Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+0.62vs Predicted
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4Rice University-0.95-0.91vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-2.91+0.12vs Predicted
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6University of California at Davis-2.98-0.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.77University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.5%1st Place
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2.19California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.3%1st Place
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3.62Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
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3.09Rice University-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.12University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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5.2University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Soliman | 48.2% | 32.0% | 15.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 31.0% | 33.4% | 23.4% | 9.7% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Annika Burns | 7.7% | 11.2% | 20.5% | 36.5% | 19.8% | 4.3% |
| Arthur Unger | 10.6% | 18.2% | 34.0% | 26.9% | 9.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 1.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 10.9% | 36.2% | 44.6% |
| Alexander Lohan | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 12.4% | 31.6% | 49.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.