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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+3.20vs Predicted
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2Penn State University1.130.00vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+2.02vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+1.44vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+1.11vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.25-2.60vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-1.50-0.61vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.29-2.06vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.67-2.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Princeton University-0.4510.2%1st Place
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2.0Penn State University1.1344.2%1st Place
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5.02American University-0.867.3%1st Place
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5.44Drexel University-0.936.4%1st Place
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6.11Catholic University of America-1.274.2%1st Place
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3.4Virginia Tech-0.2517.4%1st Place
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6.39Rutgers University-1.503.5%1st Place
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5.94University of Delaware-1.294.2%1st Place
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6.51University of Delaware-1.672.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 10.2% | 13.5% | 17.8% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 2.2% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 44.2% | 28.9% | 15.4% | 7.0% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.3% | 9.6% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 14.1% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 6.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 16.0% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 9.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 12.2% | 15.8% | 17.7% | 17.5% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 17.4% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 12.6% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 22.6% |
| Seton Dill | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.4% | 14.9% |
| Laura MacMillan | 2.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 26.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.