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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1California State University Channel Islands-0.84+2.49vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy-0.07+0.56vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz0.48-1.09vs Predicted
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4University of California at Davis-2.98+2.08vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.95-1.30vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.91-0.01vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.49California State University Channel Islands-0.840.1%1st Place
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2.56California Poly Maritime Academy-0.070.2%1st Place
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1.91University of California at Santa Cruz0.480.5%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Davis-2.980.0%1st Place
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3.7Rice University-0.950.1%1st Place
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5.99University of California at San Diego-2.910.0%1st Place
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4.27Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Stadtherr | 12.5% | 16.0% | 20.5% | 22.5% | 19.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% |
| Sam Jennings | 24.8% | 27.4% | 24.5% | 15.7% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| George Soliman | 45.3% | 29.8% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 2.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Lohan | 0.6% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 11.0% | 30.9% | 47.9% |
| Arthur Unger | 9.3% | 12.9% | 20.9% | 26.2% | 19.0% | 9.9% | 1.8% |
| Alexis Gregorie | 0.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 11.2% | 33.9% | 43.6% |
| Annika Burns | 6.6% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 19.2% | 31.3% | 16.4% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.