← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University1.61+3.21vs Predicted
-
2Fairfield University0.69+5.27vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University0.93+3.52vs Predicted
-
4Olin College of Engineering0.52+4.08vs Predicted
-
5Brown University0.58+2.63vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College0.43+2.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Vermont0.76+0.14vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University0.65-0.62vs Predicted
-
9Northeastern University0.11+0.71vs Predicted
-
10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-0.79vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.02vs Predicted
-
12Brown University0.64-4.47vs Predicted
-
13University of New Hampshire0.39-4.35vs Predicted
-
14Bates College-0.19-3.11vs Predicted
-
15University of Rhode Island-0.23-4.18vs Predicted
-
16University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.22vs Predicted
-
17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.21Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
-
7.27Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
-
6.52Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
-
8.08Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
-
7.63Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
-
8.54Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
-
7.14University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
-
7.38Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
-
9.71Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
-
9.21Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
-
11.02University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
-
7.53Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
-
8.65University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
-
10.89Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
-
10.82University of Rhode Island-0.230.0%1st Place
-
12.78University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
-
15.62University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Larzelere | 21.1% | 15.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Blake Vogel | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Commerford | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Isabella Cho | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 1.8% |
| John Divelbiss | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 4.9% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| James Sullivan | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 4.6% |
| Alden Coldreck | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 4.1% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 20.8% | 13.4% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 12.3% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.