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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+5.35vs Predicted
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2Brown University0.58+5.64vs Predicted
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3Bates College-0.19+7.68vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University0.69+3.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.65+2.32vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.64+1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont0.76+0.15vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.61-3.69vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.43-0.46vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.11-0.56vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.26+0.09vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering0.52-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island-0.23-2.06vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire0.39-5.39vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18-5.65vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.19vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.64Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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10.68Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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7.5Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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7.32Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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7.15University of Vermont0.760.1%1st Place
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4.31Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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8.54Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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9.44Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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11.09University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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8.0Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island-0.230.0%1st Place
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8.61University of New Hampshire0.390.0%1st Place
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9.35Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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12.81University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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15.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Frary | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 4.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.1% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Keller Morrison | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Audrey Commerford | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 20.4% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 4.5% |
| James Jagielski | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Alden Coldreck | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| James Sullivan | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 1.9% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 14.1% | 22.3% | 12.4% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 12.8% | 64.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.