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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.93+5.80vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.69+5.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.58+5.11vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.65+3.53vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.18+4.44vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.11+3.84vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.61-2.66vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College0.43+0.44vs Predicted
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9Olin College of Engineering0.52-0.92vs Predicted
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10Brown University0.64-2.09vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.39-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.23-0.52vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.26-1.92vs Predicted
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14McGill University0.22-4.92vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.37-3.30vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.19-4.89vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.78-3.66vs Predicted
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18University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.02-1.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Tufts University0.930.1%1st Place
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7.68Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
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8.11Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
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7.53Tufts University0.650.1%1st Place
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9.44Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.180.0%1st Place
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9.84Northeastern University0.110.0%1st Place
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4.34Tufts University1.610.2%1st Place
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8.44Middlebury College0.430.1%1st Place
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8.08Olin College of Engineering0.520.1%1st Place
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7.91Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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8.84University of New Hampshire0.390.1%1st Place
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11.48University of Rhode Island-0.230.0%1st Place
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11.08University of New Hampshire-0.260.0%1st Place
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9.08McGill University0.220.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.11Bates College-0.190.0%1st Place
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13.34University of New Hampshire-0.780.0%1st Place
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16.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Vogel | 8.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| John Divelbiss | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Isabella Cho | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Adam Larzelere | 18.2% | 17.9% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| James Jagielski | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Keller Morrison | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| James Sullivan | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Alden Coldreck | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 4.7% |
| Ted Richardsson | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| ZIYUE ZHOU | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.6% | 4.3% |
| Cameron Frary | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 19.9% | 12.6% |
| Iain Gillespie | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 61.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.