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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.86+4.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.03+5.97vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.57+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.90+1.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.81+0.15vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.27+1.25vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.95+4.73vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University-0.57+2.10vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.37+4.32vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+1.48vs Predicted
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11Bates College-0.11-2.28vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University-0.19-3.14vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.68-2.16vs Predicted
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14Brown University-0.04-5.54vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-3.78vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire-0.80-4.76vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60-6.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Tufts University0.860.2%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University0.030.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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5.09University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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7.25Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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11.73University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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10.1Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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13.32Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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11.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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8.72Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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8.86Northeastern University-0.190.0%1st Place
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10.84University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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8.46Brown University-0.040.0%1st Place
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11.22Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.24University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 15.4% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 9.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.2% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 13.5% | 14.4% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 10.7% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% |
| William Procter | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 15.0% | 29.7% |
| cole capizzo | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| Max Boni | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Patience Gifford | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Rohan Shah | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.1% | 1.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% |
| William Sargent | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.