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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.86+4.02vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.03+5.96vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.81+2.29vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.90+1.04vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.57+0.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University0.27+1.28vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11+1.59vs Predicted
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8Brown University-0.04+0.16vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.57+1.50vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire-0.95+1.68vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+0.63vs Predicted
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12Olin College of Engineering-0.82-0.77vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.19-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.68-3.12vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.80-3.83vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60-5.52vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.37-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.02Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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7.96Tufts University0.030.1%1st Place
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5.29Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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8.59Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University-0.040.1%1st Place
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10.5Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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11.68University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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11.63Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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11.23Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University-0.190.1%1st Place
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10.88University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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11.17University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.13Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 14.3% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.8% | 12.5% | 11.8% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 10.7% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Patience Gifford | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Cronin | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 5.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 12.1% |
| cole capizzo | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 13.5% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.8% |
| Max Boni | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
| William Sargent | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% |
| William Procter | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 27.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.