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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.03+6.75vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University-0.57+8.14vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60+7.36vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.81+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.90-0.05vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.86-0.70vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.11+1.58vs Predicted
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8Brown University-0.04+0.16vs Predicted
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9Brown University0.27-1.66vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.12-2.35vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.82+0.32vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.68-1.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.18vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-0.80-2.70vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire-0.95-3.44vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.37-2.92vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-10.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.75Tufts University0.030.1%1st Place
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10.14Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.42Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island0.900.2%1st Place
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5.3Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.58Bates College-0.110.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University-0.040.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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7.65Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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11.32Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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10.64University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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13.18Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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11.3University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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11.56University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.08Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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6.26University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greta Traver | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Timothy Cronin | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% |
| William Sargent | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% |
| Annecy Kagan | 13.0% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Purcell | 15.9% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Harry Stevenson | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Patience Gifford | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 15.7% | 25.7% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 10.9% |
| William Procter | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 22.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 8.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.