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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+0.94vs Predicted
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2American University-0.86+2.92vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.50+3.14vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.25-0.64vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-0.45-0.78vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93-0.61vs Predicted
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7Catholic University of America-1.27-1.07vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.13-2.45vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.26-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.94Penn State University1.1346.0%1st Place
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4.92American University-0.867.8%1st Place
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6.14Rutgers University-1.503.1%1st Place
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3.36Virginia Tech-0.2517.1%1st Place
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4.22Princeton University-0.4510.3%1st Place
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5.39Drexel University-0.935.1%1st Place
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5.93Catholic University of America-1.273.6%1st Place
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5.55University of Delaware-1.135.3%1st Place
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7.53University of Delaware-2.261.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 46.0% | 28.7% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 4.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.1% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 19.9% | 15.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 17.1% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 10.3% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 15.3% | 13.5% | 7.3% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 18.4% | 12.1% |
| Anna Servidio | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 8.8% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 16.6% | 50.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.