Race 7A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Billing 10.3% 11.7% 11.5% 9.4% 10.1% 8.2% 9.1% 7.5% 6.2% 6.3% 3.6% 3.7% 1.5% 0.9%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 15.8% 12.8% 13.0% 11.9% 9.7% 10.1% 8.3% 6.1% 5.0% 2.4% 2.6% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Matthew Paige 5.1% 4.5% 6.3% 7.3% 6.1% 5.3% 6.2% 7.7% 8.2% 10.7% 8.9% 11.6% 9.3% 2.8%
John McGlynn 4.8% 6.6% 6.2% 6.7% 7.8% 7.5% 9.0% 7.5% 9.3% 7.2% 11.1% 7.9% 6.1% 2.3%
Connor Needham 10.3% 13.4% 11.5% 12.3% 9.2% 9.3% 8.6% 7.0% 6.3% 5.4% 2.7% 2.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Andrew Tamblyn 8.6% 8.2% 9.6% 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 8.0% 8.8% 8.0% 6.8% 6.6% 3.9% 3.0% 0.7%
Tom Peabody 6.2% 8.7% 7.6% 6.1% 7.6% 7.2% 7.6% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0% 8.1% 7.2% 5.2% 1.4%
Caleb Armstrong 10.9% 10.4% 9.0% 9.6% 8.2% 7.3% 9.6% 7.6% 7.2% 7.2% 5.5% 4.4% 2.4% 0.7%
Jessica Claflin 8.2% 6.5% 7.9% 8.4% 8.9% 10.7% 8.2% 7.9% 9.4% 7.0% 7.8% 4.8% 3.2% 1.1%
Alexander Rudkin 2.9% 2.6% 2.6% 2.7% 3.1% 5.7% 5.3% 6.1% 6.4% 8.7% 10.5% 13.4% 17.2% 12.8%
Bo McClatchy 9.7% 7.8% 8.3% 9.6% 8.7% 8.3% 9.2% 8.9% 7.6% 7.7% 5.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.7%
William Simon 3.5% 3.7% 3.1% 3.2% 4.9% 6.2% 5.9% 8.0% 7.5% 10.4% 9.6% 12.3% 13.4% 8.3%
Thomas Presti 2.6% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 4.7% 3.0% 3.3% 5.6% 5.7% 6.5% 11.0% 13.3% 19.1% 18.6%
Priscilla Stoll 1.1% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 2.2% 1.7% 2.3% 4.1% 4.7% 6.6% 8.1% 14.9% 49.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.