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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University0.86+4.09vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.81+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont0.57+3.08vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.80+7.13vs Predicted
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5Brown University0.27+2.03vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.90-0.80vs Predicted
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7Fairfield University-0.57+3.29vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12-0.40vs Predicted
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9Brown University-0.04-0.51vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.11-1.56vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60-0.48vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.95-0.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39+0.20vs Predicted
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14Tufts University0.03-5.84vs Predicted
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15Olin College of Engineering-0.82-3.89vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.37-2.91vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.68-6.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.09Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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6.08University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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11.13University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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7.03Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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10.29Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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7.6Northeastern University0.120.1%1st Place
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8.49Brown University-0.040.0%1st Place
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8.44Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.52University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.0%1st Place
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11.64University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
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13.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University0.030.0%1st Place
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11.11Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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13.09Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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10.75University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria Skouloudi | 14.7% | 13.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.7% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 10.1% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% |
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Anthony Purcell | 13.3% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Patience Gifford | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Harry Stevenson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| William Sargent | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Brendan OBrien | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 17.8% | 25.3% |
| Greta Traver | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% |
| William Procter | 1.7% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 14.1% | 24.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.