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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.27+6.11vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.86+3.14vs Predicted
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3Brown University-0.04+5.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.81+1.50vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.03+3.09vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.60+4.78vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-0.68+3.97vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.90-2.93vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-0.57+1.66vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.18-1.13vs Predicted
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11Olin College of Engineering-0.82+0.55vs Predicted
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12University of New Hampshire-0.80-0.66vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University-0.19-3.88vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-7.71vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College-1.37-1.76vs Predicted
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16Bates College-0.11-7.20vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire-0.95-5.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11Brown University0.270.1%1st Place
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5.14Tufts University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.46Brown University-0.040.1%1st Place
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5.5Tufts University0.810.1%1st Place
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8.09Tufts University0.030.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.600.0%1st Place
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10.97University of New Hampshire-0.680.0%1st Place
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5.07University of Rhode Island0.900.1%1st Place
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10.66Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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8.87McGill University-0.180.0%1st Place
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11.55Olin College of Engineering-0.820.0%1st Place
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11.34University of New Hampshire-0.800.0%1st Place
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9.12Northeastern University-0.190.0%1st Place
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6.29University of Vermont0.570.1%1st Place
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13.24Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.8Bates College-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.0University of New Hampshire-0.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean-Luc Depardieu | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Maria Skouloudi | 14.8% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patience Gifford | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Annecy Kagan | 12.9% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| William Sargent | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% |
| Jake Lacoche | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% |
| Anthony Purcell | 14.3% | 15.9% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Cronin | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% |
| Juan Carrau Carrero | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Rohan Shah | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 12.4% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 10.3% |
| Max Boni | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| William Procter | 0.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 30.0% |
| Harry Stevenson | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Brendan OBrien | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.