Race 8A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Emily Billing 10.5% 11.7% 11.7% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 7.8% 7.4% 7.0% 5.0% 5.6% 2.9% 1.7% 0.5%
Jessica Claflin 8.9% 8.9% 8.6% 8.9% 7.5% 8.7% 8.9% 9.5% 8.8% 6.9% 6.6% 4.1% 2.8% 0.9%
Nicolas Russo-Larsson 15.0% 13.5% 12.0% 10.5% 9.3% 8.8% 8.5% 8.1% 5.0% 3.8% 2.8% 1.5% 1.0% 0.2%
Caleb Armstrong 9.2% 9.9% 9.6% 9.8% 7.9% 10.0% 9.4% 7.6% 7.0% 7.7% 5.4% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Andrew Tamblyn 7.6% 9.0% 9.5% 10.9% 8.2% 8.4% 8.9% 8.2% 8.6% 7.3% 6.2% 3.8% 2.6% 0.8%
Thomas Presti 2.2% 2.3% 2.6% 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.2% 4.4% 5.6% 7.2% 9.4% 14.6% 19.8% 20.2%
Alexander Rudkin 2.9% 3.6% 2.5% 5.3% 4.7% 4.4% 4.9% 5.4% 6.9% 6.7% 11.2% 14.8% 16.2% 10.5%
Tom Peabody 6.8% 6.2% 7.2% 5.8% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.8% 9.0% 8.0% 6.1% 2.6%
Bo McClatchy 9.3% 8.3% 7.9% 7.9% 9.4% 10.2% 9.5% 7.9% 7.7% 8.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.2% 0.7%
Connor Needham 12.5% 11.9% 12.7% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 9.0% 7.7% 7.0% 5.0% 2.8% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Matthew Paige 4.9% 5.1% 4.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 7.0% 6.7% 8.9% 9.4% 10.4% 11.4% 7.3% 4.8%
John McGlynn 5.0% 5.5% 6.4% 7.3% 8.2% 7.1% 7.6% 10.2% 9.1% 9.4% 7.8% 7.3% 5.3% 3.8%
Priscilla Stoll 1.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.2% 1.4% 1.9% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 7.8% 19.1% 48.0%
William Simon 3.5% 3.3% 4.0% 4.5% 5.7% 4.9% 6.5% 5.7% 6.8% 10.4% 11.6% 13.9% 12.8% 6.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.