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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+0.92vs Predicted
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2Princeton University-0.45+2.22vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-1.27+2.85vs Predicted
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4American University-0.86+0.97vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-1.50+1.10vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.25-2.60vs Predicted
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7Drexel University-0.93-1.54vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-2.26-0.56vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-1.13-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Penn State University1.1349.1%1st Place
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4.22Princeton University-0.4510.2%1st Place
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5.85Catholic University of America-1.274.0%1st Place
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4.97American University-0.866.7%1st Place
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6.1Rutgers University-1.503.1%1st Place
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3.4Virginia Tech-0.2516.4%1st Place
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5.46Drexel University-0.934.8%1st Place
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7.44University of Delaware-2.261.1%1st Place
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5.65University of Delaware-1.134.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 49.1% | 26.7% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebastien Nordenson | 10.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.0% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.3% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 19.6% | 15.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 16.4% | 20.6% | 20.3% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 15.8% | 12.8% | 8.4% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 48.4% |
| Anna Servidio | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 9.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.