Race 3B

tiger-town

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Maison Koepke 35.8% 24.2% 18.1% 11.8% 6.3% 3.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Ashton Loring 13.0% 20.6% 20.2% 17.1% 15.6% 9.2% 3.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Garrett Cook 16.6% 16.3% 18.1% 17.3% 15.7% 11.8% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Neil Bunce 8.9% 9.8% 12.4% 16.9% 17.9% 18.1% 11.4% 3.8% 0.8%
Jonathan Schrantz 15.6% 17.5% 16.7% 15.8% 14.8% 11.9% 6.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Max Braun 1.8% 2.3% 3.1% 5.4% 6.8% 11.3% 27.8% 28.0% 13.5%
James Keller 1.1% 1.0% 1.8% 2.2% 3.3% 5.8% 13.7% 31.4% 39.7%
Tyler Williams 1.1% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 5.3% 14.6% 27.4% 43.9%
William Avery 6.1% 7.4% 7.8% 11.4% 16.7% 23.1% 18.8% 6.9% 1.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.