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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.48+0.37vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University-0.76+1.52vs Predicted
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3Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.12vs Predicted
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4Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.60-1.58vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-0.03vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-2.68-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.37North Carolina State University1.480.7%1st Place
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3.52North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
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3.12Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
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4.76Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
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3.42University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
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5.97University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
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5.85University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 72.5% | 20.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.4% | 18.0% | 25.2% | 23.2% | 18.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 9.8% | 28.1% | 23.9% | 22.2% | 11.5% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 17.4% | 29.2% | 23.6% | 9.9% |
| May Proctor | 7.5% | 21.4% | 25.9% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Julia Morash | 0.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 11.9% | 30.9% | 44.2% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.9% | 2.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 13.1% | 30.1% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.