← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1North Carolina State University1.48+0.37vs Predicted
-
2North Carolina State University-0.76+1.53vs Predicted
-
3Embry-Riddle University-0.41+0.11vs Predicted
-
4Embry-Riddle University-1.66+0.76vs Predicted
-
5University of North Carolina-0.60-1.58vs Predicted
-
6University of South Carolina-2.68-0.09vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.72-1.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.37North Carolina State University1.480.7%1st Place
-
3.53North Carolina State University-0.760.1%1st Place
-
3.11Embry-Riddle University-0.410.1%1st Place
-
4.76Embry-Riddle University-1.660.0%1st Place
-
3.42University of North Carolina-0.600.1%1st Place
-
5.91University of South Carolina-2.680.0%1st Place
-
5.89University of North Carolina at Wilmington-2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Chase | 72.5% | 20.3% | 5.4% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tucker Parks | 7.4% | 18.0% | 25.1% | 23.0% | 18.5% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Zechariah Frantz | 9.8% | 28.1% | 24.0% | 22.2% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% |
| Timothy Dolan | 1.3% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 17.6% | 28.8% | 23.9% | 9.9% |
| May Proctor | 7.5% | 21.4% | 25.9% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Williams | 0.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 7.1% | 12.9% | 31.7% | 41.8% |
| Julia Morash | 0.9% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 12.4% | 28.9% | 43.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.