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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+2.69vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.50+3.81vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+1.58vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+1.04vs Predicted
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5Catholic University of America-1.27+0.63vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.29-0.61vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.25-4.16vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.01-3.02vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.13-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.69Princeton University-0.4516.6%1st Place
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5.81Rutgers University-1.506.6%1st Place
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4.58American University-0.8611.5%1st Place
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5.04Drexel University-0.939.3%1st Place
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5.63Catholic University of America-1.277.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Delaware-1.298.3%1st Place
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2.84Virginia Tech-0.2528.3%1st Place
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4.98Penn State University-1.019.2%1st Place
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7.05University of Delaware-2.133.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 16.6% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.5% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 9.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 5.9% |
| Benedict Gorman | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.8% | 15.6% | 13.2% |
| Seton Dill | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 11.3% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 28.3% | 24.0% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Brian Polak | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 16.8% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.