Race 9A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Needham 14.3% 13.5% 12.2% 10.3% 11.5% 11.0% 8.4% 6.2% 5.8% 3.6% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Emily Billing 11.1% 11.4% 10.7% 12.6% 10.8% 9.5% 8.5% 7.3% 7.3% 6.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Jessica Claflin 8.5% 7.7% 10.0% 10.0% 8.1% 11.3% 9.2% 9.8% 9.0% 7.6% 6.4% 1.9% 0.5%
John McGlynn 5.9% 7.1% 6.2% 9.0% 8.5% 8.5% 9.4% 10.1% 9.8% 9.5% 8.5% 5.9% 1.6%
Andrew Tamblyn 10.8% 10.6% 11.2% 10.2% 9.1% 8.0% 10.4% 10.2% 8.5% 4.9% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5%
Caleb Armstrong 11.2% 11.0% 9.9% 11.5% 9.5% 10.6% 7.9% 7.9% 7.7% 6.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.3%
Matthew Paige 7.4% 5.4% 5.9% 5.6% 8.5% 7.2% 8.2% 9.2% 10.9% 11.7% 12.0% 6.2% 1.8%
Brooke Doyon 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 3.8% 8.0% 19.1% 56.4%
William Simon 4.3% 3.9% 4.2% 4.9% 5.2% 5.5% 7.3% 8.1% 10.3% 13.8% 14.9% 13.2% 4.4%
John Meleney 13.7% 13.5% 12.4% 11.2% 10.0% 8.5% 8.8% 7.1% 6.9% 4.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Priscilla Stoll 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 1.1% 2.6% 2.6% 3.4% 3.5% 4.2% 6.7% 12.8% 31.9% 28.0%
Bo McClatchy 8.3% 10.9% 9.8% 8.0% 10.5% 9.0% 9.4% 10.3% 9.0% 7.4% 4.3% 2.5% 0.6%
Mark Gargula 2.8% 3.0% 5.5% 4.3% 4.4% 6.5% 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 13.8% 17.2% 12.8% 5.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.