Race 10A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Connor Needham 14.3% 13.1% 11.8% 11.6% 12.0% 10.2% 7.8% 7.2% 5.3% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2%
John Meleney 12.9% 12.1% 13.6% 10.2% 12.2% 7.8% 9.6% 6.9% 7.3% 4.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.3%
Jessica Claflin 8.0% 8.4% 10.4% 9.1% 9.3% 10.7% 8.3% 10.0% 9.5% 8.4% 5.5% 1.9% 0.5%
Andrew Tamblyn 10.3% 9.8% 10.7% 10.6% 9.4% 10.5% 8.2% 8.0% 9.0% 7.2% 3.7% 2.2% 0.4%
Brooke Doyon 1.0% 0.9% 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 2.4% 1.7% 4.7% 8.0% 19.0% 55.8%
Emily Billing 12.4% 11.1% 12.4% 12.9% 9.9% 8.7% 8.8% 6.0% 7.4% 5.7% 3.2% 1.0% 0.5%
Caleb Armstrong 11.7% 11.2% 9.1% 9.9% 10.2% 10.5% 8.9% 8.5% 7.5% 6.6% 3.7% 2.1% 0.1%
Bo McClatchy 9.6% 11.3% 8.7% 10.7% 9.2% 9.6% 10.5% 10.6% 6.8% 7.0% 4.2% 1.7% 0.1%
Matthew Paige 5.0% 6.2% 5.6% 5.9% 7.5% 6.7% 9.1% 10.6% 10.4% 10.6% 13.3% 7.5% 1.6%
Mark Gargula 4.6% 3.9% 4.7% 4.0% 5.1% 6.2% 6.9% 8.3% 10.5% 12.0% 14.6% 13.4% 5.8%
Priscilla Stoll 0.9% 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.4% 3.1% 3.3% 3.2% 4.5% 6.6% 13.9% 30.1% 29.1%
William Simon 3.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.9% 4.7% 6.3% 7.7% 8.6% 8.9% 12.8% 16.4% 13.5% 4.6%
John McGlynn 5.7% 6.8% 6.3% 7.6% 8.0% 8.4% 9.4% 9.7% 11.2% 10.6% 9.4% 5.9% 1.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.