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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+2.62vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.93+2.92vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.50+2.84vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.27+1.66vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.42vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-1.29-0.52vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech-0.25-4.03vs Predicted
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8Penn State University-1.01-3.06vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.13-2.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.62Princeton University-0.4519.9%1st Place
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4.92Drexel University-0.9310.1%1st Place
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5.84Rutgers University-1.506.7%1st Place
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5.66Catholic University of America-1.276.0%1st Place
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4.58American University-0.8611.4%1st Place
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5.48University of Delaware-1.297.3%1st Place
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2.97Virginia Tech-0.2526.2%1st Place
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4.94Penn State University-1.019.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Delaware-2.133.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 19.9% | 16.7% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 6.8% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 17.2% | 15.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 14.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.4% | 12.7% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 14.3% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Seton Dill | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 13.6% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 26.2% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 5.8% |
| Brian Polak | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.