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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+2.80vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.50+4.00vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.93+2.16vs Predicted
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4Catholic University of America-1.27+1.74vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.26vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.01-0.80vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.13-1.71vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.67-1.91vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech-0.25-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8Princeton University-0.4517.3%1st Place
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6.0Rutgers University-1.505.5%1st Place
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5.16Drexel University-0.939.0%1st Place
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5.74Catholic University of America-1.276.3%1st Place
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4.74American University-0.8611.8%1st Place
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5.2Penn State University-1.018.3%1st Place
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5.29University of Delaware-1.139.2%1st Place
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6.09University of Delaware-1.676.8%1st Place
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2.98Virginia Tech-0.2525.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 17.3% | 16.2% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 10.7% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Marlon Wool | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 15.8% | 20.4% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 8.8% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 16.6% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.8% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 7.1% |
| Nathan Mascia | 8.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 10.9% |
| Anna Servidio | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 10.8% |
| Laura MacMillan | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 15.8% | 23.4% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 25.8% | 22.4% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.