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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College1.84+7.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+6.82vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+1.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+5.21vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston1.26+5.20vs Predicted
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6Boston College1.36+3.95vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.07+5.38vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University1.80+0.08vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.79-0.74vs Predicted
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10Tulane University1.73-0.71vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.07-4.15vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.45-1.73vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.17-5.64vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.99-1.61vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-3.60vs Predicted
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16Tufts University1.01-4.02vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University1.31-7.22vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania1.16-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.31Bowdoin College1.847.2%1st Place
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8.82Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.635.7%1st Place
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4.03Yale University2.4220.3%1st Place
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9.21Brown University1.694.6%1st Place
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10.2College of Charleston1.264.5%1st Place
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9.95Boston College1.364.2%1st Place
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12.38George Washington University1.071.8%1st Place
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8.08Georgetown University1.806.2%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University1.797.3%1st Place
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9.29Tulane University1.734.3%1st Place
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6.85Stanford University2.078.5%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College1.454.4%1st Place
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7.36Harvard University2.177.2%1st Place
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12.39University of South Florida0.992.3%1st Place
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11.4Northeastern University1.182.4%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University1.012.5%1st Place
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9.78Roger Williams University1.314.3%1st Place
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12.44University of Pennsylvania1.162.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 20.3% | 17.5% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Emily Alfortish | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Sara Schumann | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 14.7% |
| Emily Doble | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Ellie Harned | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Drulard | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kalea Woodard | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 17.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 3.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.