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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.23+3.15vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont4.10+0.80vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.85-1.04vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.07+2.33vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.08+1.13vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.53-0.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.49+1.54vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.98-3.39vs Predicted
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10University of Connecticut2.51-4.51vs Predicted
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11Wesleyan University-0.83-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Vermont4.100.2%1st Place
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1.96Yale University4.850.4%1st Place
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6.33Salve Regina University2.070.0%1st Place
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6.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.080.0%1st Place
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5.37Brown University2.530.1%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.490.0%1st Place
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4.61Bowdoin College2.980.1%1st Place
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5.49University of Connecticut2.510.0%1st Place
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9.61Wesleyan University-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chandler Salisbury | 9.8% | 12.2% | 18.1% | 18.2% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Ambrose Gosling | 22.2% | 27.1% | 21.1% | 14.8% | 9.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Barrows | 44.0% | 30.1% | 15.7% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Keller | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 16.9% | 18.8% | 23.2% | 9.6% | 1.9% |
| Chris Grabe | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 24.1% | 8.6% | 1.0% |
| Madeleine Harvey | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.9% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 13.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Nate Olsen | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 11.1% | 55.6% | 18.4% |
| Leah Hughes | 6.4% | 9.8% | 15.3% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Sean Andrew | 4.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.4% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 14.9% | 5.2% | 0.4% |
| Gabriel Elder | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 15.5% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.