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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Princeton University-0.45+2.88vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-1.27+3.69vs Predicted
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3Rutgers University-1.50+2.97vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+1.23vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.25-2.06vs Predicted
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6American University-0.86-1.33vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.67-0.84vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.13-2.65vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.01-3.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Princeton University-0.4515.8%1st Place
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5.69Catholic University of America-1.276.8%1st Place
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5.97Rutgers University-1.506.8%1st Place
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5.23Drexel University-0.937.2%1st Place
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2.94Virginia Tech-0.2528.2%1st Place
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4.67American University-0.8611.9%1st Place
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6.16University of Delaware-1.675.3%1st Place
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5.35University of Delaware-1.138.2%1st Place
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5.12Penn State University-1.019.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Nordenson | 15.8% | 17.2% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 16.7% |
| Marlon Wool | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 15.3% | 20.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 7.2% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 12.9% | 9.2% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 28.2% | 21.8% | 17.2% | 12.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Arey | 11.9% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 5.6% |
| Laura MacMillan | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 12.7% | 17.9% | 22.7% |
| Anna Servidio | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 12.6% |
| Nathan Mascia | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 13.1% | 13.6% | 11.1% | 9.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.