Race 12A

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Andrew Tamblyn 11.2% 8.7% 11.8% 8.9% 10.3% 9.0% 10.9% 7.6% 9.2% 6.3% 4.1% 1.7% 0.3%
Emily Billing 11.4% 11.9% 10.9% 10.5% 10.3% 11.8% 7.7% 8.6% 7.3% 4.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.4%
John Meleney 12.1% 13.3% 12.1% 11.1% 11.1% 11.4% 8.6% 6.1% 7.7% 3.5% 2.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Mark Gargula 3.0% 3.4% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 6.8% 6.5% 8.5% 8.4% 13.1% 17.9% 13.1% 4.5%
Bo McClatchy 9.8% 11.7% 10.2% 10.2% 8.3% 8.2% 11.4% 9.0% 7.7% 7.1% 3.8% 2.3% 0.3%
Connor Needham 13.7% 14.4% 13.2% 12.8% 9.6% 9.7% 7.0% 7.4% 5.2% 4.0% 1.8% 1.1% 0.1%
William Simon 4.9% 4.0% 4.6% 5.7% 5.1% 5.7% 6.7% 8.2% 10.2% 12.2% 17.1% 12.0% 3.6%
Caleb Armstrong 10.4% 11.4% 9.8% 9.8% 9.0% 10.7% 11.1% 9.3% 7.6% 5.7% 3.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Matthew Paige 6.0% 5.5% 5.0% 6.4% 7.6% 6.4% 9.2% 11.7% 9.3% 11.5% 12.0% 7.5% 1.9%
Jessica Claflin 9.6% 8.2% 9.5% 9.7% 10.8% 9.0% 7.8% 9.2% 9.9% 7.3% 5.6% 2.9% 0.5%
Priscilla Stoll 0.9% 1.0% 1.2% 1.3% 2.1% 3.0% 3.2% 3.5% 4.5% 7.2% 11.3% 32.7% 28.1%
John McGlynn 6.3% 5.8% 6.5% 8.2% 9.3% 7.0% 8.5% 9.6% 10.1% 12.6% 9.6% 5.3% 1.2%
Brooke Doyon 0.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.3% 1.2% 1.3% 1.4% 1.3% 2.9% 4.6% 7.1% 18.9% 58.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.