← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Georgetown University2.55+3.31vs Predicted
-
2Northeastern University2.03+3.79vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University1.28+5.30vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.44vs Predicted
-
5Christopher Newport University0.79+5.10vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University1.57+1.42vs Predicted
-
7Tulane University2.38-2.18vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University1.93-1.79vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston1.75-2.29vs Predicted
-
10George Washington University1.26-1.37vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont0.76-0.80vs Predicted
-
12North Carolina State University1.65-4.64vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University1.02-3.49vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan0.10-1.97vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.31Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
5.79Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
8.3Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
-
8.44Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.1Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
7.42Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.82Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
6.21Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.71College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
-
8.63George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
10.2University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
-
7.36North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
-
9.51Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
12.03University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
-
10.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 18.6% | 18.1% | 11.3% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.2% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 13.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Ava Anderson | 14.7% | 13.3% | 14.0% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Grace Squires | 7.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 13.6% | 14.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.7% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 16.5% | 35.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 12.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.