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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston1.75+5.67vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.55+2.22vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+1.74vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+5.29vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+3.49vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+4.22vs Predicted
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7North Carolina State University1.65+0.12vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.57-0.54vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.26-0.60vs Predicted
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10Cornell University1.93-3.69vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.76-0.80vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-5.91vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University1.28-4.33vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan0.10-1.97vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University0.79-4.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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4.22Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.74Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.29Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
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10.22St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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7.12North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.46Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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6.31Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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10.2University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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6.09Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
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12.03University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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10.07Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Squires | 9.2% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.1% | 18.0% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 14.3% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 7.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% |
| Olivia Sowa | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 13.9% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 35.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 12.9% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.