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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.55+3.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.26+5.98vs Predicted
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3Cornell University1.93+2.91vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University0.81+5.59vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+2.21vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38-1.41vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.03-1.35vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.37+4.78vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston1.75-2.52vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.02-0.93vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.83vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.65-4.89vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.98vs Predicted
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14Christopher Newport University0.79-4.32vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan0.10-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.98George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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5.91Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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9.59Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.21Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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4.59Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.65Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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12.78University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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6.48College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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8.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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9.68Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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11.62University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Piper Holthus | 19.9% | 17.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| J.J. Smith | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 14.8% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 13.0% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 12.2% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 16.2% | 44.5% |
| Grace Squires | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.6% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 13.3% | 7.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.2% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 21.0% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.