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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+0.82vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-1.27+3.65vs Predicted
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3University of Delaware-1.29+2.52vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech-0.25-0.80vs Predicted
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5American University-0.86-0.27vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93-0.86vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.30-1.35vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.50-2.03vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.26-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.82Penn State University1.1351.9%1st Place
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5.65Catholic University of America-1.273.8%1st Place
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5.52University of Delaware-1.295.0%1st Place
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3.2Virginia Tech-0.2516.3%1st Place
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4.73American University-0.867.2%1st Place
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5.14Drexel University-0.935.7%1st Place
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5.65Princeton University-1.304.5%1st Place
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5.97Rutgers University-1.504.2%1st Place
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7.33University of Delaware-2.261.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 51.9% | 26.8% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 3.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 11.0% |
| Seton Dill | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 16.0% | 13.7% | 13.9% | 10.1% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 16.3% | 23.3% | 22.4% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Arey | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 8.2% | 3.3% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 5.7% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 5.3% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 10.2% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 13.2% | 14.5% | 18.6% | 14.2% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.3% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 15.6% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.