Race 1B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Christopher Price 9.5% 9.9% 11.8% 9.6% 8.9% 11.0% 9.9% 8.4% 6.5% 6.0% 4.7% 2.9% 0.5% 0.4%
William Gibbons 9.9% 10.4% 10.2% 9.2% 10.2% 9.0% 10.9% 9.8% 7.0% 6.5% 3.7% 2.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Connor Brady 13.0% 11.7% 9.7% 11.2% 10.3% 9.3% 9.7% 9.2% 6.7% 4.1% 3.2% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Michael Booker 12.1% 13.4% 11.5% 11.4% 11.3% 11.0% 6.7% 6.9% 7.0% 5.2% 1.9% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Johanna Kincaid 8.1% 10.1% 10.9% 11.7% 10.0% 9.0% 9.2% 8.2% 7.2% 7.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3%
James Rohman 8.8% 6.5% 8.8% 8.8% 10.8% 9.1% 7.6% 10.8% 8.8% 7.7% 7.4% 3.1% 1.5% 0.3%
Abby Preston 7.8% 8.9% 6.7% 8.4% 8.4% 8.2% 10.0% 9.3% 9.2% 10.2% 7.6% 3.4% 1.4% 0.5%
Cole Rice 7.0% 6.3% 6.6% 7.3% 6.6% 8.2% 9.2% 9.3% 10.7% 10.0% 8.2% 6.6% 3.6% 0.4%
Angus Page 4.4% 3.1% 3.6% 4.7% 3.9% 5.8% 6.7% 6.4% 12.6% 14.2% 13.2% 11.4% 6.4% 3.6%
Dan Nickerson 13.7% 14.2% 14.6% 11.9% 11.4% 10.2% 8.6% 5.7% 4.9% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Luke Miller 1.6% 1.9% 1.2% 1.7% 2.0% 3.2% 4.0% 4.8% 6.3% 7.2% 12.0% 19.0% 20.9% 14.2%
Isabel Elliman 1.7% 2.1% 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.9% 5.3% 6.6% 8.6% 14.9% 17.3% 17.2% 12.5%
James Fales 1.7% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.9% 3.5% 5.0% 7.6% 16.1% 24.3% 31.0%
Charles Cahill 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 0.9% 2.1% 1.2% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 4.8% 9.4% 12.8% 21.8% 36.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.