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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Christopher Newport University0.79+8.50vs Predicted
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2Cornell University1.93+3.88vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.14vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.38+0.62vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.02+4.00vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.57+1.16vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.75-0.49vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+0.18vs Predicted
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9North Carolina State University1.65-2.21vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University0.81-0.35vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.03-5.24vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan0.10-0.08vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.98vs Predicted
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14George Washington University1.26-5.83vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont-0.37-2.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.5Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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5.88Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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4.14Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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4.62Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
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9.0Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.16Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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8.18Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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6.79North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.65Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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5.76Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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11.92University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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10.02St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.17George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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12.7University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Watlington | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.7% | 11.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.1% | 16.2% | 13.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 15.9% | 14.0% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Grace Squires | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 6.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.1% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 24.7% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 12.7% | 8.3% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 1.9% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 42.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.