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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University1.28+7.21vs Predicted
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2Christopher Newport University0.79+7.81vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.55+1.33vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.65+3.11vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.57+2.50vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.75+0.81vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.38-2.18vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.26+0.42vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-0.65vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont-0.37+2.99vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan0.10+0.93vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.03-5.88vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-2.69vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.93-7.87vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.62-7.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.21Old Dominion University1.280.1%1st Place
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9.81Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
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4.33Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
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7.11North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.5Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
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4.82Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.42George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
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8.35Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
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11.93University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
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6.12Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.31St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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6.13Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
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7.18Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizabeth Gildea | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 6.6% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Grace Squires | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Ava Anderson | 14.9% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.1% |
| Heather Kerns | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 17.7% | 47.0% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.1% | 21.4% | 26.7% |
| Eva Ermlich | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 14.8% | 9.1% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.