← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University1.93+5.23vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University1.26+6.33vs Predicted
-
3College of Charleston1.75+3.72vs Predicted
-
4Northeastern University2.03+1.92vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.57+2.52vs Predicted
-
6North Carolina State University1.65+1.17vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan0.10+4.83vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University2.38-3.11vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.55-4.73vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.62-2.66vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.50vs Predicted
-
12Christopher Newport University0.79-1.75vs Predicted
-
13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-3.17vs Predicted
-
14Old Dominion University1.28-5.64vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont-0.37-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.23Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
8.33George Washington University1.260.0%1st Place
-
6.72College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
-
5.92Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.52Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
7.17North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
-
11.83University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
-
4.89Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.27Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
7.34Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
-
8.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.0%1st Place
-
10.25Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
9.83St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
-
8.36Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
12.84University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.J. Smith | 9.6% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Avery Canavan | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 2.5% |
| Grace Squires | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.9% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Olivia Sowa | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 25.7% |
| Ava Anderson | 12.9% | 15.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 18.1% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Heather Kerns | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Grace Watlington | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 15.2% | 7.8% |
| Lily Flack | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 12.1% | 6.6% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 2.2% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.