← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+7.15vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University1.93+4.00vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University1.57+4.19vs Predicted
-
4Tulane University2.38+0.73vs Predicted
-
5College of Charleston1.75+1.80vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.55-1.72vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University1.26+1.26vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University0.79+1.87vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University1.28-0.81vs Predicted
-
10Northeastern University2.03-4.12vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University1.65-3.91vs Predicted
-
12University of Michigan0.10+0.03vs Predicted
-
13University of Vermont-0.37-0.01vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University1.00-4.84vs Predicted
-
15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.91-5.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.270.1%1st Place
-
6.0Cornell University1.930.1%1st Place
-
7.19Fordham University1.570.1%1st Place
-
4.73Tulane University2.380.2%1st Place
-
6.8College of Charleston1.750.1%1st Place
-
4.28Georgetown University2.550.2%1st Place
-
8.26George Washington University1.260.1%1st Place
-
9.87Christopher Newport University0.790.0%1st Place
-
8.19Old Dominion University1.280.0%1st Place
-
5.88Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.09North Carolina State University1.650.1%1st Place
-
12.03University of Michigan0.100.0%1st Place
-
12.99University of Vermont-0.370.0%1st Place
-
9.16Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
-
9.37St. Mary's College of Maryland0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heather Kerns | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 2.2% |
| J.J. Smith | 8.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Cutler | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 16.0% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Grace Squires | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Piper Holthus | 17.0% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Avery Canavan | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Grace Watlington | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 6.9% |
| Elizabeth Gildea | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Sowa | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Luciana Solorzano | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 23.0% | 25.3% |
| Jordynn Johnson | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 17.9% | 48.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 4.4% |
| Lily Flack | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.