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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+0.81vs Predicted
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2Rutgers University-1.50+3.96vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-1.27+2.72vs Predicted
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4Princeton University-1.30+1.69vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.93+0.21vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech-0.25-2.75vs Predicted
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7American University-0.86-2.32vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.29-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-2.26-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.81Penn State University1.1351.1%1st Place
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5.96Rutgers University-1.503.9%1st Place
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5.72Catholic University of America-1.274.0%1st Place
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5.69Princeton University-1.303.9%1st Place
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5.21Drexel University-0.935.2%1st Place
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3.25Virginia Tech-0.2516.6%1st Place
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4.68American University-0.868.2%1st Place
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5.53University of Delaware-1.295.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Delaware-2.261.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 51.1% | 27.5% | 13.7% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marlon Wool | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 15.2% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.0% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 11.8% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 3.9% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 10.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 5.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 12.8% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 6.0% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 16.6% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Arey | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Seton Dill | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 9.8% |
| Elise Singletary | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 15.7% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.