Race 11B

st-mary-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Lucy Spearman 10.6% 11.2% 10.9% 9.5% 8.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.7% 6.6% 5.2% 5.3% 3.5% 3.4% 0.8% 1.2%
Maisie MacGillivray 4.4% 5.2% 5.5% 7.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 7.5% 8.3% 8.8% 6.7% 8.4% 3.8%
Lina Carper 5.9% 6.4% 5.0% 6.0% 6.6% 8.2% 7.5% 6.0% 7.8% 7.8% 8.8% 9.0% 7.0% 5.0% 3.0%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 7.4% 8.4% 6.6% 8.3% 8.4% 8.1% 6.4% 8.0% 6.9% 7.6% 6.6% 6.0% 5.7% 4.0% 1.6%
Morgan Rice 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 6.5% 5.7% 6.0% 7.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.9% 9.7% 7.5% 6.1% 6.5% 3.3%
Lucia Loosbrock 9.7% 9.6% 8.8% 8.9% 9.9% 9.3% 9.9% 7.7% 7.4% 5.5% 4.5% 4.2% 3.1% 1.1% 0.4%
Lizzie Cochran 7.4% 4.9% 6.0% 5.7% 6.3% 7.4% 7.1% 9.6% 7.4% 7.3% 8.3% 6.7% 7.4% 5.7% 2.8%
Laura Smith 3.2% 3.2% 3.5% 3.5% 4.0% 4.5% 4.6% 5.2% 6.0% 8.1% 6.8% 9.5% 10.1% 16.0% 11.8%
Emma Tallman 18.5% 13.9% 13.8% 12.6% 8.7% 9.1% 8.2% 5.2% 3.1% 3.2% 2.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Elizabeth Starck 6.6% 7.7% 9.1% 7.1% 8.7% 7.7% 6.5% 7.7% 9.6% 6.8% 6.9% 5.6% 5.6% 3.5% 0.9%
Emma Friedauer 3.0% 3.2% 4.4% 4.9% 4.5% 3.9% 5.4% 7.3% 6.6% 6.4% 6.6% 9.9% 10.3% 11.9% 11.7%
Caitlin Derby 3.4% 2.4% 3.3% 4.3% 5.6% 5.8% 5.8% 5.1% 6.7% 8.3% 7.7% 8.4% 12.4% 13.0% 7.8%
Maya Conway 4.6% 4.9% 5.1% 5.4% 5.8% 5.3% 5.1% 6.9% 7.3% 8.1% 9.3% 9.0% 9.8% 8.7% 4.7%
Isabella du Plessis 8.6% 10.4% 9.8% 9.0% 9.0% 8.2% 7.6% 7.9% 8.2% 6.2% 4.5% 4.4% 3.0% 2.3% 0.9%
Katherine Simcoe 0.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1.3% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 1.8% 4.1% 4.6% 6.6% 8.9% 13.0% 46.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.