Race 3B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Christopher Price 9.3% 10.6% 9.2% 9.5% 10.7% 8.8% 11.3% 9.4% 7.7% 6.9% 4.7% 1.5% 0.4%
James Rohman 8.5% 8.1% 9.3% 8.7% 9.2% 9.5% 9.1% 9.2% 11.6% 8.4% 4.5% 3.2% 0.7%
Cole Rice 5.3% 5.3% 7.9% 8.0% 7.3% 9.4% 9.1% 10.0% 9.9% 12.1% 9.8% 4.7% 1.2%
Dan Nickerson 15.2% 14.3% 12.8% 12.4% 10.6% 10.0% 7.8% 7.6% 4.9% 2.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Abby Preston 7.5% 7.6% 7.2% 9.4% 7.8% 8.0% 8.5% 11.0% 11.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.0% 1.3%
Johanna Kincaid 10.2% 11.1% 10.6% 9.9% 10.3% 9.7% 9.5% 8.3% 7.4% 6.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
William Gibbons 10.9% 9.7% 8.6% 9.2% 9.5% 11.0% 9.5% 8.3% 9.6% 7.5% 4.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Connor Brady 11.0% 12.6% 11.6% 10.4% 10.2% 11.4% 9.9% 8.4% 6.8% 4.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
Luke Miller 1.6% 2.3% 2.6% 1.8% 3.4% 2.8% 3.7% 3.6% 5.3% 8.7% 16.6% 26.4% 21.2%
Michael Booker 14.7% 12.7% 12.2% 10.9% 10.7% 8.6% 9.5% 7.1% 5.0% 4.5% 2.6% 1.5% 0.0%
Angus Page 3.6% 3.5% 4.7% 6.4% 6.0% 5.2% 7.0% 9.3% 11.2% 14.4% 13.3% 10.4% 5.0%
Isabel Elliman 1.3% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 2.6% 4.2% 4.1% 5.6% 4.9% 9.4% 18.4% 23.5% 19.8%
Charles Cahill 0.9% 0.4% 1.0% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 1.0% 2.2% 4.0% 4.8% 10.0% 21.6% 49.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.