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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+0.84vs Predicted
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2American University-0.86+2.76vs Predicted
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3Catholic University of America-1.27+2.74vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.93+1.18vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech-0.25-1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.13+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.13-1.64vs Predicted
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8Rutgers University-1.50-2.03vs Predicted
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9Princeton University-1.30-3.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.84Penn State University1.1350.0%1st Place
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4.76American University-0.866.9%1st Place
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5.74Catholic University of America-1.274.0%1st Place
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5.18Drexel University-0.936.2%1st Place
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3.18Virginia Tech-0.2517.7%1st Place
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7.21University of Delaware-2.131.7%1st Place
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5.36University of Delaware-1.134.9%1st Place
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5.97Rutgers University-1.504.0%1st Place
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5.75Princeton University-1.304.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 50.0% | 28.4% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.9% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 15.6% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% |
| Benedict Gorman | 4.0% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 15.2% | 11.8% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 6.2% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 14.1% | 14.0% | 12.4% | 6.7% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 17.7% | 24.1% | 20.8% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Brian Polak | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 18.0% | 41.5% |
| Anna Servidio | 4.9% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 12.8% | 7.4% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.0% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.0% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 15.3% | 15.0% | 12.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.