Race 12B

st-mary-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Emma Tallman 17.4% 15.7% 13.0% 12.1% 9.1% 8.0% 6.3% 5.2% 5.1% 2.6% 2.2% 1.2% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Lucy Spearman 10.9% 10.5% 11.5% 8.2% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 6.5% 7.5% 5.3% 4.1% 4.0% 2.9% 1.5% 0.0%
Laura Smith 3.2% 3.1% 4.4% 3.9% 4.0% 4.7% 3.9% 5.6% 5.6% 7.5% 8.2% 8.2% 11.8% 15.4% 10.5%
Lizzie Cochran 5.2% 6.5% 6.1% 6.9% 7.0% 6.5% 7.6% 8.2% 7.4% 6.2% 7.1% 8.0% 7.7% 6.1% 3.5%
Morgan Rice 6.2% 7.5% 5.6% 4.9% 7.3% 6.2% 7.1% 6.8% 6.8% 9.1% 8.9% 7.9% 6.9% 6.0% 2.8%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 6.8% 7.1% 7.4% 7.3% 8.3% 8.1% 8.8% 8.5% 8.2% 7.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.1% 3.1% 1.3%
Maisie MacGillivray 6.6% 4.5% 4.3% 5.9% 5.9% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.5% 8.5% 8.3% 8.3% 7.1% 7.5% 4.7%
Isabella du Plessis 10.0% 8.8% 9.4% 8.5% 7.9% 8.9% 9.1% 7.4% 6.5% 7.2% 5.6% 4.4% 3.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Elizabeth Starck 6.7% 7.9% 7.5% 9.6% 8.4% 8.5% 8.3% 8.0% 6.9% 8.0% 7.1% 5.7% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0%
Maya Conway 4.3% 4.8% 6.0% 5.5% 6.7% 6.3% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 7.7% 8.8% 9.0% 8.5% 4.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 9.2% 11.1% 9.9% 10.1% 7.6% 7.6% 7.1% 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 5.2% 4.4% 3.2% 2.4% 1.0%
Emma Friedauer 3.3% 2.1% 2.2% 4.4% 4.5% 5.9% 5.3% 5.8% 7.3% 6.9% 7.2% 9.8% 12.0% 12.7% 10.6%
Katherine Simcoe 0.7% 0.9% 1.6% 2.1% 1.7% 1.8% 2.4% 3.2% 2.8% 3.5% 2.6% 7.0% 7.3% 14.4% 48.0%
Lina Carper 5.4% 4.8% 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 6.2% 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.9% 9.6% 7.4% 6.9% 6.0% 3.6%
Caitlin Derby 4.1% 4.7% 3.9% 3.7% 5.7% 5.2% 5.6% 6.0% 6.8% 5.7% 9.2% 8.9% 11.7% 10.9% 7.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.