Race 13B

st-mary-women-inter-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Isabella du Plessis 10.1% 9.9% 10.6% 9.8% 7.7% 7.9% 7.0% 8.5% 6.8% 4.9% 5.0% 4.6% 3.8% 2.3% 1.1%
Laura Smith 3.6% 2.9% 3.4% 4.3% 4.1% 4.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.0% 5.9% 7.0% 6.7% 13.7% 12.6% 11.4%
Maisie MacGillivray 5.2% 5.2% 6.3% 5.4% 6.1% 6.3% 6.3% 7.5% 7.2% 7.8% 8.0% 9.7% 8.2% 7.3% 3.5%
Emma Tallman 16.7% 16.9% 12.6% 9.9% 10.5% 7.3% 8.1% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7% 2.3% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
Lizzie Cochran 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.4% 5.6% 5.1% 8.1% 10.7% 6.5% 9.3% 6.1% 6.4% 3.2%
Caitlin Derby 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 4.8% 3.4% 5.5% 5.8% 7.4% 6.0% 7.2% 8.9% 10.3% 8.9% 11.8% 7.8%
Elizabeth Starck 9.0% 6.2% 7.6% 9.8% 7.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.3% 7.7% 6.7% 6.6% 4.8% 4.6% 3.9% 1.9%
Lucy Spearman 10.1% 11.9% 9.4% 9.2% 8.8% 8.8% 8.8% 7.1% 6.9% 5.0% 6.1% 3.3% 1.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Lina Carper 5.2% 4.8% 6.5% 6.9% 7.8% 6.5% 8.4% 7.9% 8.0% 6.9% 8.3% 7.4% 7.5% 6.2% 1.7%
Emma Friedauer 3.2% 3.3% 2.8% 3.8% 5.3% 5.2% 5.5% 5.4% 6.0% 7.7% 8.7% 9.4% 10.9% 12.5% 10.3%
Alexa Shea 5.0% 5.6% 6.2% 5.7% 7.6% 7.1% 6.8% 6.3% 7.6% 6.5% 6.9% 7.5% 8.2% 7.3% 5.7%
Lucia Loosbrock 9.0% 9.3% 10.6% 8.0% 8.7% 9.0% 7.2% 7.3% 7.8% 6.7% 6.4% 4.6% 2.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia 7.3% 6.8% 6.0% 6.9% 7.7% 8.0% 6.3% 8.2% 7.9% 9.0% 8.1% 6.2% 6.5% 2.9% 2.2%
Maya Conway 5.0% 5.2% 6.0% 6.6% 5.7% 6.6% 6.6% 6.6% 7.0% 8.4% 7.3% 9.8% 7.8% 7.7% 3.7%
Katherine Simcoe 0.9% 1.7% 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 1.9% 2.2% 3.0% 2.2% 3.9% 3.9% 4.8% 8.5% 14.6% 46.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.