Race 3A

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Rooks 5.4% 6.7% 5.4% 9.0% 8.5% 7.8% 8.4% 10.7% 9.0% 8.3% 9.8% 5.9% 3.7% 1.4%
Daniel van Heeckeren 7.4% 9.3% 7.1% 8.6% 9.2% 7.8% 10.6% 8.4% 10.4% 8.7% 6.0% 3.7% 2.1% 0.7%
John Cabell 7.7% 8.1% 8.0% 7.1% 9.4% 7.9% 9.6% 8.8% 10.5% 8.4% 6.9% 5.1% 2.0% 0.5%
Grant Adam 19.4% 18.6% 14.9% 13.3% 9.3% 9.2% 6.7% 3.9% 2.5% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Mikhail Lavrenov 2.5% 4.1% 5.6% 4.4% 5.1% 6.7% 7.9% 8.1% 8.6% 11.1% 12.1% 12.8% 8.0% 3.0%
Fritz Baldauf 10.3% 9.0% 11.1% 11.1% 10.2% 9.8% 8.1% 9.9% 5.9% 6.2% 5.4% 2.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Nolan Cooper 8.2% 10.4% 7.8% 9.2% 9.4% 10.2% 8.9% 7.9% 9.7% 7.9% 5.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.6%
Caleb Burt 2.7% 3.0% 3.2% 3.4% 4.6% 4.3% 5.2% 5.1% 7.8% 8.9% 12.5% 15.0% 15.4% 8.9%
Luke Kenahan 6.1% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 6.7% 9.2% 9.2% 9.1% 10.3% 10.6% 7.9% 8.3% 3.7% 1.3%
Izzy Wu-Karr 9.7% 8.6% 10.9% 10.3% 10.8% 9.2% 9.7% 10.2% 7.9% 6.4% 3.2% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Sam Ingalls 16.6% 12.5% 16.5% 10.2% 9.9% 10.1% 7.1% 7.0% 3.5% 3.4% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Browne 0.9% 1.2% 0.7% 1.6% 2.4% 1.5% 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 5.9% 7.5% 13.5% 27.3% 28.5%
Harrison Nash 2.4% 2.7% 2.5% 3.8% 3.5% 4.5% 4.6% 5.6% 7.7% 9.7% 13.4% 16.5% 14.8% 8.3%
Talia Trigg 0.7% 0.6% 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 1.8% 1.5% 2.4% 2.6% 3.5% 7.0% 10.3% 20.2% 46.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.