← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University0.39+6.13vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.47+7.50vs Predicted
-
3Boston University0.60+3.60vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.38+0.42vs Predicted
-
5Brown University1.64-1.19vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.34+1.46vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College0.96-1.67vs Predicted
-
8McGill University-0.01+0.38vs Predicted
-
9Fairfield University0.69-2.64vs Predicted
-
10Brown University0.58-3.34vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.69vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College0.92-6.33vs Predicted
-
13Bates College-0.50-3.29vs Predicted
-
14Middlebury College-1.67-1.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.13Northeastern University0.390.1%1st Place
-
9.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.470.0%1st Place
-
6.6Boston University0.600.1%1st Place
-
4.42University of Rhode Island1.380.1%1st Place
-
3.81Brown University1.640.2%1st Place
-
7.46Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.340.1%1st Place
-
5.33Connecticut College0.960.1%1st Place
-
8.38McGill University-0.010.0%1st Place
-
6.36Fairfield University0.690.1%1st Place
-
6.66Brown University0.580.1%1st Place
-
11.69Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
-
5.67Connecticut College0.920.1%1st Place
-
9.71Bates College-0.500.0%1st Place
-
12.25Middlebury College-1.670.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samuel Rooks | 6.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Caleb Burt | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 16.2% | 16.2% | 5.9% |
| John Cabell | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Sam Ingalls | 14.0% | 16.7% | 12.5% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grant Adam | 19.7% | 18.8% | 15.5% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Luke Kenahan | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Fritz Baldauf | 12.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Mikhail Lavrenov | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 8.2% | 3.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Daniel van Heeckeren | 7.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Oliver Browne | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 12.8% | 24.0% | 32.6% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Harrison Nash | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 14.0% | 7.7% |
| Talia Trigg | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 21.9% | 45.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.