Race 1B

central

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matias Martin 28.1% 21.7% 15.3% 10.5% 10.1% 6.3% 3.4% 2.2% 1.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 13.8% 14.6% 12.4% 11.9% 11.3% 11.0% 8.3% 6.2% 4.5% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.2% 0.3%
Lilly Saffer 8.9% 10.3% 10.9% 11.5% 9.8% 11.0% 9.7% 8.3% 6.5% 6.0% 3.9% 1.8% 1.3% 0.1%
Tyler Meadows 4.1% 6.0% 6.6% 7.4% 6.8% 8.6% 10.3% 10.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.1% 5.9% 4.3% 2.6%
Charles Case 11.5% 14.6% 15.7% 12.6% 10.9% 10.4% 8.2% 5.8% 4.9% 1.8% 2.4% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 5.7% 4.9% 6.2% 7.7% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 9.2% 8.3% 8.9% 9.3% 7.2% 5.0% 2.0%
Pierre Offredi 3.9% 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 5.2% 6.9% 7.2% 9.0% 7.7% 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 9.3% 5.7%
William Procter 1.8% 1.9% 2.8% 3.2% 2.8% 3.0% 4.6% 4.4% 7.7% 6.3% 8.5% 10.6% 16.1% 26.3%
Joseph Gedraitis 2.2% 2.1% 2.0% 1.6% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.6% 5.8% 8.3% 9.9% 13.1% 18.0% 24.3%
Timothy Cronin 3.1% 4.3% 3.9% 5.4% 6.5% 5.9% 8.5% 7.5% 10.4% 10.7% 9.5% 10.8% 8.9% 4.6%
cole capizzo 2.9% 2.2% 2.4% 4.2% 4.4% 5.4% 6.1% 8.1% 7.5% 10.5% 10.1% 12.3% 11.8% 12.1%
Richard Kalich 7.8% 6.9% 9.1% 10.2% 10.9% 10.1% 10.1% 8.7% 8.5% 6.7% 4.0% 3.4% 2.7% 0.9%
Matthew Straub 2.6% 2.0% 2.7% 2.9% 4.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.1% 8.6% 10.0% 9.5% 12.0% 15.1% 16.7%
Nolan Wiggins 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.9% 6.9% 5.9% 6.0% 11.2% 9.6% 9.6% 11.6% 9.1% 6.9% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.