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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University1.13+0.90vs Predicted
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2Catholic University of America-1.27+3.71vs Predicted
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3American University-0.86+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.13+1.42vs Predicted
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5Princeton University-1.30+0.75vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.93-0.90vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-2.13+0.20vs Predicted
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8Virginia Tech-0.25-4.82vs Predicted
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9Rutgers University-1.50-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.9Penn State University1.1347.6%1st Place
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5.71Catholic University of America-1.275.0%1st Place
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4.85American University-0.866.3%1st Place
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5.42University of Delaware-1.134.7%1st Place
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5.75Princeton University-1.304.6%1st Place
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5.1Drexel University-0.936.0%1st Place
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7.2University of Delaware-2.131.4%1st Place
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3.18Virginia Tech-0.2519.7%1st Place
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5.9Rutgers University-1.504.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 47.6% | 29.4% | 13.5% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Benedict Gorman | 5.0% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 12.1% |
| Hannah Arey | 6.3% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 8.5% | 5.0% |
| Anna Servidio | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.0% | 9.2% |
| Johnny Leadingham | 4.6% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 12.7% |
| Nathaniel Adams | 6.0% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 5.7% |
| Brian Polak | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 17.2% | 40.6% |
| Malik Deslauriers | 19.7% | 21.0% | 22.1% | 15.1% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Marlon Wool | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 14.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.