Race 4B

mt-hope-bay-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

69.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Michael Booker 12.6% 12.3% 13.2% 10.5% 10.9% 11.3% 8.2% 8.3% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.9% 0.1%
Christopher Price 9.7% 9.5% 10.3% 9.1% 10.4% 10.2% 8.8% 9.1% 10.1% 6.7% 4.3% 1.5% 0.3%
Johanna Kincaid 7.9% 11.0% 11.7% 11.7% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 11.1% 8.2% 6.6% 3.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Connor Brady 12.7% 11.5% 9.6% 12.1% 10.0% 10.0% 9.2% 9.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Cole Rice 6.9% 6.3% 6.9% 8.9% 7.7% 7.3% 8.7% 9.2% 12.6% 10.6% 9.1% 4.5% 1.3%
James Rohman 8.0% 8.9% 9.4% 8.1% 9.6% 9.6% 12.4% 8.5% 7.7% 8.0% 6.7% 2.4% 0.7%
William Gibbons 11.4% 9.2% 9.6% 9.0% 9.3% 9.6% 10.4% 9.5% 8.9% 6.6% 4.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Abby Preston 6.6% 7.1% 7.1% 9.0% 7.4% 10.4% 8.5% 9.7% 11.8% 11.1% 6.6% 4.0% 0.7%
Isabel Elliman 1.8% 2.5% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 3.7% 3.9% 3.8% 6.1% 9.6% 18.1% 25.1% 17.4%
Angus Page 4.8% 3.5% 4.2% 4.3% 5.4% 6.6% 7.5% 8.0% 9.6% 14.3% 14.2% 11.5% 6.1%
Dan Nickerson 15.6% 16.1% 13.1% 11.7% 12.2% 9.1% 7.5% 7.1% 3.2% 2.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Luke Miller 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 1.9% 3.7% 2.2% 3.7% 4.5% 6.6% 8.8% 17.0% 24.1% 22.9%
Charles Cahill 0.9% 0.5% 0.8% 1.4% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 3.2% 6.1% 9.5% 21.4% 49.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.