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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Charles Case 14.3% 15.4% 15.0% 11.9% 12.1% 9.3% 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 2.9% 1.7% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Matias Martin 26.7% 23.1% 16.3% 13.5% 7.9% 5.6% 2.5% 2.3% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 12.2% 13.3% 11.5% 13.5% 11.8% 11.1% 7.7% 6.5% 6.4% 3.2% 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.2%
Richard Kalich 6.8% 8.4% 9.7% 10.0% 9.1% 11.1% 11.4% 7.4% 8.2% 7.9% 4.4% 2.9% 2.4% 0.3%
Matthew Straub 1.3% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 5.6% 5.3% 7.8% 7.2% 9.5% 13.8% 15.4% 18.1%
Zach Earnshaw 5.0% 4.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.1% 9.7% 10.4% 9.7% 9.0% 8.1% 7.8% 7.0% 5.9% 1.8%
Lilly Saffer 10.5% 11.5% 11.3% 10.6% 11.8% 9.0% 9.4% 8.6% 6.3% 4.9% 2.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2%
cole capizzo 3.1% 3.6% 3.9% 3.5% 4.9% 5.4% 5.7% 6.9% 7.0% 10.7% 10.4% 9.5% 13.6% 11.8%
Tyler Meadows 5.9% 4.6% 5.4% 7.1% 6.3% 8.4% 11.0% 11.2% 9.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.9% 4.6% 1.8%
Pierre Offredi 3.1% 3.1% 3.6% 4.6% 5.6% 5.8% 7.8% 7.9% 8.7% 9.7% 11.1% 11.2% 10.3% 7.5%
Timothy Cronin 3.8% 3.0% 4.6% 4.0% 6.8% 7.5% 8.0% 9.2% 8.9% 9.6% 11.2% 9.7% 8.6% 5.1%
Joseph Gedraitis 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.9% 3.0% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% 5.6% 8.4% 12.0% 11.7% 14.4% 25.8%
William Procter 2.4% 1.8% 2.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.0% 4.7% 4.6% 6.4% 8.0% 8.2% 13.0% 16.7% 23.5%
Nolan Wiggins 3.6% 3.9% 4.8% 6.3% 6.9% 6.5% 7.0% 9.5% 10.0% 9.7% 11.5% 9.9% 6.5% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.