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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University0.78+3.45vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College1.37+1.06vs Predicted
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3Brown University0.64+1.81vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.16+2.15vs Predicted
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5Bates College-1.17+5.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.21+1.40vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.36-1.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.90+1.28vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University-0.23-1.58vs Predicted
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10McGill University-0.70-1.10vs Predicted
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11Fairfield University-0.57-2.53vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.39-1.25vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College-1.37-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.56-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.45Brown University0.780.1%1st Place
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3.06Connecticut College1.370.3%1st Place
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4.81Brown University0.640.1%1st Place
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6.15Boston University0.160.1%1st Place
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10.19Bates College-1.170.0%1st Place
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7.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.210.1%1st Place
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5.35Connecticut College0.360.1%1st Place
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9.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.900.0%1st Place
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7.42Northeastern University-0.230.1%1st Place
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8.9McGill University-0.700.0%1st Place
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8.47Fairfield University-0.570.0%1st Place
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10.75Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.390.0%1st Place
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10.55Middlebury College-1.370.0%1st Place
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8.21University of Rhode Island-0.560.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Case | 14.3% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matias Martin | 26.7% | 23.1% | 16.3% | 13.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Keller Morrison | 12.2% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Richard Kalich | 6.8% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Straub | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 18.1% |
| Zach Earnshaw | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 1.8% |
| Lilly Saffer | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| cole capizzo | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 11.8% |
| Tyler Meadows | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Pierre Offredi | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Timothy Cronin | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 5.1% |
| Joseph Gedraitis | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 11.7% | 14.4% | 25.8% |
| William Procter | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 23.5% |
| Nolan Wiggins | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.