Race 4B

central

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Zach Earnshaw 5.0% 5.8% 8.3% 6.5% 9.4% 9.3% 8.3% 8.4% 9.1% 9.9% 7.7% 5.3% 4.7% 2.3%
Matias Martin 27.4% 23.0% 15.2% 12.8% 8.5% 4.6% 4.6% 2.4% 1.0% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Keller Morrison 11.9% 14.5% 12.8% 11.5% 12.1% 8.6% 10.1% 6.8% 5.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Charles Case 13.4% 16.0% 13.6% 12.9% 11.5% 10.6% 8.0% 5.3% 3.4% 3.1% 0.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Pierre Offredi 2.9% 2.7% 4.3% 5.2% 5.2% 6.9% 7.7% 6.2% 9.0% 10.0% 10.8% 11.6% 10.5% 7.0%
Matthew Straub 1.3% 2.8% 2.6% 3.0% 3.3% 3.8% 3.9% 5.8% 7.9% 8.8% 8.8% 13.0% 15.6% 19.4%
cole capizzo 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 5.4% 4.8% 4.7% 5.9% 7.5% 8.2% 10.0% 11.2% 11.9% 10.3% 9.9%
Richard Kalich 8.7% 8.3% 9.6% 10.2% 9.5% 9.6% 8.9% 8.4% 7.7% 6.6% 4.6% 4.8% 2.2% 0.9%
Tyler Meadows 6.3% 4.2% 6.0% 7.4% 6.0% 9.3% 8.9% 11.3% 9.8% 9.2% 9.2% 6.5% 4.0% 1.9%
Timothy Cronin 3.6% 3.5% 3.3% 4.6% 7.1% 8.0% 7.2% 9.5% 8.5% 9.4% 12.1% 10.2% 7.8% 5.2%
Lilly Saffer 10.4% 8.3% 11.1% 10.7% 9.7% 11.3% 9.9% 8.4% 7.0% 4.2% 4.4% 3.0% 1.3% 0.3%
Nolan Wiggins 3.4% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 6.7% 6.4% 7.7% 9.1% 11.2% 10.0% 9.5% 8.4% 7.5% 6.4%
Joseph Gedraitis 1.8% 2.0% 1.7% 2.2% 3.7% 3.1% 3.4% 5.9% 4.8% 8.4% 10.3% 11.1% 16.8% 24.8%
William Procter 1.2% 2.0% 2.8% 2.0% 2.5% 3.8% 5.5% 5.0% 7.3% 6.8% 8.5% 12.3% 18.5% 21.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.