Race 5B

central

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Matias Martin 27.6% 23.0% 15.0% 10.9% 8.2% 6.9% 3.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Zach Earnshaw 5.5% 7.3% 6.8% 8.3% 7.4% 8.2% 8.9% 8.2% 11.0% 9.7% 6.6% 6.3% 3.8% 2.0%
Richard Kalich 8.2% 9.3% 10.4% 7.8% 9.9% 8.4% 10.3% 10.0% 8.7% 5.6% 6.0% 2.7% 2.0% 0.7%
Tyler Meadows 4.1% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 8.1% 8.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.7% 9.1% 8.3% 6.8% 4.0% 2.8%
Lilly Saffer 8.6% 9.7% 12.3% 11.3% 8.3% 11.2% 9.7% 8.0% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.5%
Keller Morrison 11.6% 12.1% 14.0% 11.6% 12.4% 10.0% 8.1% 7.5% 4.3% 4.1% 3.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Joseph Gedraitis 1.6% 2.2% 1.8% 3.4% 3.2% 4.7% 4.6% 4.3% 5.4% 7.0% 10.0% 12.9% 15.2% 23.7%
Nolan Wiggins 4.3% 4.6% 5.1% 5.8% 6.3% 6.0% 6.5% 9.1% 8.6% 10.0% 9.8% 10.4% 7.6% 5.9%
Charles Case 14.2% 14.0% 12.7% 14.7% 11.0% 10.0% 8.7% 4.9% 3.6% 2.8% 2.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Pierre Offredi 3.3% 3.1% 3.4% 3.8% 6.9% 5.9% 6.8% 9.1% 8.9% 9.4% 10.7% 10.5% 10.8% 7.4%
cole capizzo 3.0% 2.0% 2.9% 3.2% 5.3% 5.5% 7.0% 5.8% 9.0% 9.8% 9.9% 12.0% 13.1% 11.5%
Timothy Cronin 3.3% 3.2% 4.7% 5.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.5% 10.2% 8.9% 11.9% 8.6% 8.0% 8.7% 6.2%
William Procter 2.5% 1.3% 2.3% 2.2% 3.0% 3.7% 3.5% 4.8% 7.2% 6.7% 10.5% 12.2% 16.1% 24.0%
Matthew Straub 2.2% 2.0% 1.9% 4.7% 3.1% 3.9% 6.3% 5.4% 7.2% 7.6% 10.2% 13.6% 16.7% 15.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.